Discontinuity of employment and unemployment insurance reform: what effects on the job seekers’ income and return to work (DISRAC)

This research project aims to evaluate the effects of the unemployment insurance reform, and in particular the effect of the new method of calculating the Daily Reference Wage (which is used to determine unemployment compensation), introduced on 1 October 2021, on jobseekers with non-continuous employment pathways. Using MiDAS data, we mobilize two evaluation methods. First, using an optimal matching method coupled with econometric analysis, we seek to identify a typology of jobseeker trajectories, in particular those with split employment histories, and to study their evolution following the reform. Secondly, we will use a Staggered difference-in-differences method to assess the impact of this reform on jobseekers’ income, on the quality of jobs found, and the rights of unemployment insurance consumed.